KPMG Playoff Probability: Who's the front-runner to win the 113th Grey Cup?

Insight & AnalysisSep 30, 2026

CFL.ca Staff

TORONTO -- The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs continues with only four weeks remaining on the regular season schedule.

KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.

As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 17 weeks of play.

Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 18.

ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Edmonton

C

Toronto

C

BC

99.30%

Saskatchewan

97.98%

Winnipeg

72.43%

Calgary

30.29%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Toronto

C

Edmonton

99.00%

BC

62.14%

Saskatchewan

35.38%

Winnipeg

2.74%

Calgary

0.74%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST EASTERN FINAL

Table

Projection

Montreal

98.94%

Toronto

1.06%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST WESTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Edmonton

89.52%

Saskatchewan

5.51%

BC

4.97%

Winnipeg

E

Calgary

E

ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Montreal

69.18%

Edmonton

69.18%

Toronto

24.69%

BC

23.34%

Saskatchewan

7.75%

Winnipeg

5.02%

Calgary

0.84%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Edmonton

39.20%

Montreal

30.78%

BC

13.66%

Toronto

10.83%

Saskatchewan

3.26%

Winnipeg

2.03%

Calgary

0.24%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS

Teams

Projection

Edmonton/Montreal

47.93%

Edmonton/Toronto

16.97%

BC/Montreal

15.73%

BC/Toronto

5.51%

Saskatchewan/Montreal

4.78%